| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.2% | 10% | +46.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 80.5% | 94% | -13.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 68.4% | 11% | +57.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% | 78% | -31.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 46.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 22.9% | 23.4% | 53.7% |
| xgboost | 37.2% | 26.2% | 36.7% |
| logistic | 32.4% | 29.3% | 38.2% |
| Elgin | Dundee | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1354 | 1624 |
| Surface Elo | 1354 | 1624 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.50 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Stranraer | 1 - 5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Stranraer | 1 - 5 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Annan Athletic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Dumbarton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Stirling | 4 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Motherwell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Motherwell | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Hearts | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | St Johnstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Hibernian | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 10.50 | 9.5% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.00 | 14.3% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.19 | 84.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.25 | 80.0% | 22 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.75 | 26.7% | 22 Sep 06:15 |