| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.4% | 62% | -6.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.5% | 54.4% |
| logistic | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Karl Poling | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1443 | 1462 |
| Surface Elo | 1443 | 1462 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | A | Iker Urribarrens Ramirez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Patrick Zahraj | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Luca Staeheli | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Ozan Baris | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Fares Zakaria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Apr | H | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.62 | 61.7% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |