| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.8% | 75% | -10.8% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.7% | 80.3% |
| logistic | 44.8% | 55.2% |
| Nicolas Barrientos | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1503 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1503 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Sergi Perez Contri | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | A | Juan Pablo Ficovich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Nov | A | Alex Hernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Nov | H | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 May | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Oleksii Krutykh | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Hugo Maia | 1 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Lorenzo Carboni | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Oriol Font | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Ruffino, Elia | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.34 | 74.6% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 05 Oct 06:15 |