| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.8% | 75% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.4% | 23.6% |
| logistic | 55.1% | 44.9% |
| Paula Badosa | Sinja Kraus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1613 | 1558 |
| Surface Elo | 1613 | 1558 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | H | Carol Young Suh Lee | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Antonia Ruzic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Antonia Ruzic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Jelena Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Daria Kasatkina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Panna Udvardy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Talia Gibson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Talia Gibson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Caty McNally | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Magda Linette | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.45 | 29.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.33 | 75.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |