| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.5% | 72% | -5.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.5% | 62.4% |
| logistic | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Lucia Bronzetti | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1427 | 1566 |
| Surface Elo | 1427 | 1566 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.60 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Nov | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Luisina Giovannini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Mona Barthel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Fiona Crawley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Lois Boisson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Caroline Dolehide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Sloane Stephens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Barbora Palicova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Diae El Jardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Kristina Penickova | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.39 | 71.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |