| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.5% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| DC | Home or away | 74.1% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.6% | no line | ✗ miss | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | no line | ✓ hit | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.0% | 23.6% | 34.3% |
| xgboost | 39.5% | 29.5% | 31.0% |
| logistic | 40.5% | 27.2% | 32.3% |
| Utrecht | Nijmegen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1595 | 1565 |
| Surface Elo | 1595 | 1565 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 7 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 07 Nov | A | FC Den Bosch | 1 - 1 | D |
| 02 Nov | H | FC Dordrecht | 3 - 2 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Telstar | 2 - 4 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Telstar | 2 - 4 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Kozakken Boys Werkendam | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Heerenveen | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Heerenveen | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | H | Groningen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | H | Groningen | 2 - 2 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | For Sittard | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Nijmegen | 1 - 3 | Utrecht |
| 02 Nov 2025 | Utrecht | 1 - 0 | Nijmegen |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Utrecht | 0 - 1 | Nijmegen |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Nijmegen | 1 - 2 | Utrecht |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Utrecht | 1 - 0 | Nijmegen |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Nijmegen | 3 - 0 | Utrecht |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Nijmegen | 2 - 2 | Utrecht |
| 16 Sep 2022 | Utrecht | 0 - 0 | Nijmegen |
| 29 Apr 2022 | Utrecht | 1 - 0 | Nijmegen |
| 22 Sep 2021 | Nijmegen | 0 - 3 | Utrecht |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||