OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-24
🎾 ATP Chengdu, China Men Singles · Thursday 24 September 2026, 09:50 UTC · finished
Lloyd Harris 1.80 2 - 0 1.80 Aleksandar Kovacevic
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 54.4%66%-11.8%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov49.9%50.1%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost52.8%47.2%
logistic54.8%45.2%
Inputs the models saw
Lloyd HarrisAleksandar Kovacevic
Elo (pre-match)17571717
Surface Elo17571717
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.80
Form trend0.000.90
Season points per game3.001.50
Season goals for / game2.001.50
Season goals against / game0.001.50
Rest days224
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Lloyd Harris: last 5
24 SepAAleksandar Kovacevic2 - 0W
22 SepHKenta Miyoshi2 - 0W
16 SepAMarat Sharipov1 - 2L
15 SepAMatsuoka, Hayato2 - 1W
14 SepHMarat Sharipov1 - 2L
Aleksandar Kovacevic: last 5
24 SepHLloyd Harris0 - 2L
31 AugHValentin Vacherot0 - 3L
28 AugHArthur Fery1 - 2L
27 AugHStefanos Tsitsipas2 - 0W
26 AugHLuca Van Assche2 - 0W
Head to head
24 Sep 2026Aleksandar Kovacevic0 - 2Lloyd Harris
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.6537.7%24 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5166.2%24 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC