OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Sunday 25 October 2026, 12:30 UTC · finished
Genk 1.60 2 - 1 1.20 Standard
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.1%58%-4.9%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.5%84%-4.2%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.8%76%-5.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.3%63%-4.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 58.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson53.6%26.0%20.4%
xgboost54.6%23.5%21.9%
logistic49.6%27.4%23.0%
Inputs the models saw
GenkStandard
Elo (pre-match)16211557
Surface Elo16211557
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.20
Form trend0.100.90
Season points per game1.501.38
Season goals for / game2.001.63
Season goals against / game1.501.63
Rest days1414
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Genk: last 5
17 OctARoyal Excelsior Virton2 - 0W
10 OctHKortrijk3 - 0W
10 OctHKortrijk3 - 0W
03 OctHFortuna Sittard1 - 2L
20 SepAClub Brugge0 - 3L
Standard: last 5
16 OctHFCV Dender EH2 - 0W
11 OctHCharleroi0 - 1L
11 OctHCharleroi0 - 1L
18 SepAGent1 - 2L
12 SepAWesterlo2 - 4L
Head to head
16 May 2026Standard0 - 0Genk
25 Apr 2026Genk1 - 1Standard
22 Feb 2026Genk0 - 3Standard
10 Aug 2025Standard2 - 1Genk
14 Feb 2025Standard1 - 2Genk
28 Jul 2024Genk0 - 0Standard
10 Mar 2024Genk1 - 0Standard
25 Nov 2023Standard1 - 0Genk
09 Apr 2023Standard2 - 0Genk
31 Jul 2022Genk3 - 1Standard
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.5022.2%25 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%25 Oct 12:30
Bet3651X2home1.6560.6%25 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6261.7%25 Oct 12:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2544.4%25 Oct 12:30
SportyBet1X2away4.4122.7%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9925.1%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.7856.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5962.9%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3542.5%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:54 UTC