| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.7% | 64% | -8.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.0% | 57.9% |
| logistic | 40.5% | 59.5% |
| Taro Daniel | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1675 | 1696 |
| Surface Elo | 1675 | 1696 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Rest days | 18 | 18 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Fabian Marozsan | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Marat Sharipov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Adrian Mannarino | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Jenson Brooksby | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct 2024 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 0 | Taro Daniel |
| 28 Oct 2024 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 0 | Taro Daniel |
| 24 Apr 2017 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 2 - 0 | Taro Daniel |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.56 | 64.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.50 | 40.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |