| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.6% | 56% | +5.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.7% | 46.2% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Adrian Mannarino | Aleksandr Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1845 | 1568 |
| Surface Elo | 1845 | 1568 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.94 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.47 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | H | Toby Samuel | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Simonsson, Jan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Nuno Borges | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Jacob Fearnley | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Viktor Durasovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Luka Pavlovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Luka Pavlovic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Yoshihito Nishioka | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.80 | 55.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |