OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Eredivisie · Saturday 10 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
For Sittard 1.80 1 - 1 2.60 Twente
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 58.4%69%-11.1%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 82.7%89%-6.8%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 75.8%86%-9.8%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 59.3%74%-14.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 57.7%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson22.9%25.5%51.6%
xgboost11.6%17.7%70.7%
logistic11.5%21.7%66.8%
Inputs the models saw
For SittardTwente
Elo (pre-match)15261694
Surface Elo15261694
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.60
Form trend-0.30-0.20
Season points per game1.862.29
Season goals for / game1.862.14
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
For Sittard: last 5
19 SepAWillem II1 - 0W
12 SepHAjax1 - 5L
06 SepADen Haag3 - 2W
28 AugAGroningen3 - 2W
22 AugHAZ Alkmaar0 - 2L
Twente: last 5
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3 - 2W
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3 - 2W
12 SepHDen Haag2 - 0W
09 SepHTelstar1 - 0W
06 SepAGroningen2 - 2D
Head to head
21 Mar 2026For Sittard1 - 2Twente
26 Sep 2025Twente3 - 2For Sittard
05 Apr 2025Twente1 - 1For Sittard
23 Nov 2024For Sittard1 - 2Twente
06 Apr 2024Twente2 - 0For Sittard
08 Oct 2023For Sittard0 - 3Twente
11 Mar 2023For Sittard0 - 3Twente
14 Aug 2022Twente3 - 0For Sittard
07 May 2022Twente1 - 2For Sittard
14 Aug 2021For Sittard2 - 1Twente
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.4569.0%10 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2draw4.7521.1%10 Oct 19:00
Bet3651X2home5.7517.4%10 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3673.5%10 Oct 19:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.1032.3%10 Oct 19:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC