| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 49.4% | 47% | +2.8% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or away | 76.2% | 84% | -7.4% | abandoned |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 64.4% | 61% | +3.2% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 74% | -18.8% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.3% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.8% | 26.2% | 46.0% |
| xgboost | 31.7% | 23.2% | 45.1% |
| logistic | 21.5% | 27.6% | 50.9% |
| Rotherham | Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1353 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1353 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Shrewsbury | 3 - 3 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Shrewsbury | 3 - 3 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Newport County | 2 - 2 | D |
| 20 Oct | H | Newport County | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Fleetwood Town | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackpool | 4 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackpool | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 3 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Mar 2026 | Rotherham | 0 - 0 | Mansfield |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Mansfield | 2 - 1 | Rotherham |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Rotherham | 3 - 3 | Mansfield |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Mansfield | 1 - 0 | Rotherham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.35 | 74.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.85 | 35.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |