| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 61.8% | 79% | -17.0% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.8% | 97% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 79.5% | 94% | -15.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 74% | -10.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 59.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 78.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% |
| xgboost | 76.6% | 13.7% | 9.7% |
| logistic | 66.0% | 22.0% | 12.0% |
| Stuttgart | Greuther Furth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1690 | 1408 |
| Surface Elo | 1690 | 1408 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 11 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 25 Sep | H | Heidenheim | 3 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Regensburg | 3 - 3 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Hoffenheim | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Sep | H | FC Koln | 4 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Magdeburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Heidenheim | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Cottbus | 4 - 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Nurnberg | 2 - 4 | L |
| 08 Jan 2022 | Greuther Furth | 0 - 0 | Stuttgart |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Stuttgart | 5 - 1 | Greuther Furth |
| 29 Feb 2020 | Greuther Furth | 2 - 0 | Stuttgart |
| 21 Sep 2019 | Stuttgart | 2 - 0 | Greuther Furth |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.25 | 13.8% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.40 | 18.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.27 | 78.7% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.35 | 74.1% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.90 | 34.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |