| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.2% | 55% | +3.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 84.1% | 79% | +5.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 78.2% | 71% | +7.4% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 71% | -14.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 15.9% | 20.8% | 63.3% |
| xgboost | 18.9% | 21.5% | 59.6% |
| logistic | 12.3% | 24.0% | 63.8% |
| Gateshead | Wolverhampton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1303 | 1586 |
| Surface Elo | 1303 | 1586 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Halifax | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Halifax | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Worthing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Altrincham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Middlesbrough | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | West Brom | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | West Brom | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.83 | 54.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.10 | 24.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.60 | 27.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.90 | 34.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |