| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.2% | 66% | -7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 82.9% | 88% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 78.2% | 83% | -4.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.4% | 63% | -10.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 56.8% | 23.7% | 19.5% |
| xgboost | 65.6% | 18.0% | 16.4% |
| logistic | 64.0% | 22.3% | 13.7% |
| Girona | Albacete | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 5 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Cadiz | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Castellon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Sp Gijon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Las Palmas | 5 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Real Valladolid Promesas | 1 - 6 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Cordoba | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Granada | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | A | Castellon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Oviedo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Mar 2021 | Girona | 2 - 1 | Albacete |
| 06 Dec 2020 | Albacete | 0 - 2 | Girona |
| 07 Mar 2020 | Girona | 1 - 1 | Albacete |
| 23 Aug 2019 | Albacete | 1 - 0 | Girona |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.50 | 18.2% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.40 | 22.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |