| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.9% | 59% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.3% | 42.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| logistic | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Hamad Medjedovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1878 | 1800 |
| Surface Elo | 1878 | 1800 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 39 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | A | Hamad Medjedovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Jan Lennard Struff | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 3 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Arthur Fils | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Kamil Majchrzak | 0 - 3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Marco Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | H | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Sebastian Ofner | 2 - 3 | L |
| 08 Oct 2026 | Hamad Medjedovic | 0 - 2 | Thiago Agustin Tirante |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 07 Oct 06:15 |