| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.1% | 44% | +7.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.9% | 55.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.0% | 43.9% |
| logistic | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | Raphael Collignon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1752 | 1809 |
| Surface Elo | 1752 | 1809 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 50 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Raphael Collignon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Aziz Dougaz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Edas Butvilas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Aug | H | Rinky Hijikata | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Aug | A | Alexei Popyrin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | 1 - 2 | Raphael Collignon |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 0 | Raphael Collignon |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |