| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.1% | 47% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 75.9% | 79% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 61.7% | 64% | -2.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 53% | +5.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 29.9% | 26.6% | 43.6% |
| xgboost | 34.1% | 25.5% | 40.5% |
| logistic | 27.3% | 26.9% | 45.9% |
| Annan Athletic | Alloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1297 | 1426 |
| Surface Elo | 1297 | 1426 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 6 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Stranraer | 1 - 6 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Stranraer | 1 - 6 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Stirling | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Stirling | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Hibernian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Hamilton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Hamilton | 0 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Ross County | 1 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Alloa | 1 - 0 | Annan Athletic |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Annan Athletic | 3 - 4 | Alloa |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Alloa | 5 - 0 | Annan Athletic |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Annan Athletic | 0 - 1 | Alloa |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Alloa | 1 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 13 Feb 2024 | Alloa | 2 - 1 | Annan Athletic |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Annan Athletic | 2 - 3 | Alloa |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Annan Athletic | 1 - 1 | Alloa |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.10 | 32.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 13 Oct 06:15 |