| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.5% | 61% | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.4% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 71.0% | 27.6% |
| logistic | 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Washington Capitals | Los Angeles Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1594 | 1352 |
| Surface Elo | 1594 | 1352 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.63 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 4.17 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Montréal Canadiens | 5 - 4 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 5 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 1 - 4 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Edmonton Oilers | 1 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | San Jose Sharks | 4 - 5 | L |
| 03 Dec 2025 | Los Angeles Kings | 1 - 3 | Washington Capitals |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Washington Capitals | 2 - 1 | Los Angeles Kings |
| 14 Mar 2025 | Los Angeles Kings | 3 - 0 | Washington Capitals |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Washington Capitals | 3 - 1 | Los Angeles Kings |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 20 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.39 | 41.8% | 20 Oct 19:20 |