| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.6% | 57% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | |
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | |
| Tristan Schoolkate | Harold Mayot | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1608 | 1673 |
| Surface Elo | 1608 | 1673 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 40 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Anton Matusevich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Marek Gengel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Clement Tabur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| 09 Jun 2025 | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| 05 Aug 2024 | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.75 | 57.1% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 19 Sep 06:16 |