OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-09
🎾 ATP Challenger Palermo, Italy Men Singles · Friday 09 October 2026, 13:00 UTC · finished
Michele Ribecai 1.20 1 - 2 2.40 Jonas Forejtek
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.7%61%-5.1%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov46.5%53.5%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost41.3%58.7%
logistic45.8%54.2%
Inputs the models saw
Michele RibecaiJonas Forejtek
Elo (pre-match)15491598
Surface Elo15491598
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.202.40
Form trend-0.900.00
Season points per game1.502.57
Season goals for / game1.001.57
Season goals against / game1.250.71
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Michele Ribecai: last 5
07 OctAZdenek Kolar2 - 0W
06 OctHBenito Sanchez Martinez2 - 1W
05 OctAJonas Forejtek1 - 2L
05 OctHZdenek Kolar2 - 0W
05 OctABenito Sanchez Martinez2 - 1W
Jonas Forejtek: last 5
07 OctHMartin Krumich2 - 0W
05 OctHSandro Kopp1 - 0W
05 OctAFrancesco Passaro1 - 2L
05 OctAAlejandro Moro Canas2 - 1W
05 OctHMichele Ribecai2 - 1W
Head to head
05 Oct 2026Jonas Forejtek2 - 1Michele Ribecai
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6959.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1047.6%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC