| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.3% | 67% | +6.2% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 65.9% | 34.0% |
| logistic | 73.6% | 26.4% |
| Lautaro Midon | Miguel Tobon | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1694 | 1530 |
| Surface Elo | 1694 | 1530 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.08 | 1.85 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.85 | 1.08 |
| Rest days | 5 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Barrios Vera, Marcelo Tomas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Gonzalo Bueno | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Tomas Barrios Vera | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Henrique Rocha | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Leonardo Storck Franca | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Enrique Bogo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Daniel Salazar Martinez | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.50 | 40.0% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 11 Nov 06:15 |