| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.8% | 56% | +0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.9% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 54.1% | 45.9% |
| Daniel Rincon | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1648 | 1609 |
| Surface Elo | 1648 | 1609 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Pedro Martinez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | David Jorda Sanchis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | Pedro Martinez |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 0 | Pedro Martinez |
| 19 Jun 2023 | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | Pedro Martinez |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.73 | 57.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |