| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.4% | 54% | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.5% | 83% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 67.5% | 74% | -7.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 53% | +3.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.0% | 30.7% | 28.3% |
| xgboost | 51.8% | 25.5% | 22.7% |
| logistic | 50.2% | 28.3% | 21.5% |
| Metz | Sochaux | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1429 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1429 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Dijon | 2 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Saint-Etienne | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | St Etienne | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Sep | A | Red Star | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Rodez | 4 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Boulogne | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Boulogne | 1 - 1 | D |
| 18 Sep | A | Laval | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Nantes | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Pau FC | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 May 2023 | Sochaux | 0 - 1 | Metz |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Metz | 0 - 0 | Sochaux |
| 11 Mar 2019 | Metz | 1 - 1 | Sochaux |
| 08 Oct 2018 | Sochaux | 1 - 2 | Metz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.40 | 22.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.84 | 54.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.90 | 52.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |