| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.8% | 81% | -15.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.1% | 24.8% |
| logistic | 49.7% | 50.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Etienne Donnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1663 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1663 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 43 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Etienne Donnet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Jurij Rodionov | 0 - 3 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Aug | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Jun | H | Yannick Hanfmann | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Patrick Brady | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Matteo Martineau | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Amir Omarkhanov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Daniel Jade | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Etienne Donnet | 2 - 0 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.75 | 26.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 13 Oct 06:15 |