| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.2% | 43% | +7.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.3% | 71% | +6.5% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.6% | 59% | +7.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 58% | +3.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.4% | 25.8% | 29.8% |
| xgboost | 50.4% | 27.8% | 21.7% |
| logistic | 51.4% | 26.3% | 22.3% |
| Brest | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1622 | 1601 |
| Surface Elo | 1622 | 1601 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 3 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Lille | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Angers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Angers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Auxerre | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Lyon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Lyon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Lille | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Nice | 2 - 2 | Brest |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Brest | 4 - 1 | Nice |
| 17 May 2025 | Nice | 6 - 0 | Brest |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Brest | 0 - 1 | Nice |
| 04 Feb 2024 | Brest | 0 - 0 | Nice |
| 01 Oct 2023 | Nice | 0 - 0 | Brest |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Brest | 1 - 0 | Nice |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Nice | 1 - 0 | Brest |
| 09 Jan 2022 | Brest | 0 - 3 | Nice |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Nice | 2 - 1 | Brest |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.22 | 31.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.58 | 27.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.32 | 43.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |