| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.8% | 61% | -3.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 47.2% | 52.7% |
| logistic | 43.9% | 56.1% |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Marta Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1716 | 1811 |
| Surface Elo | 1716 | 1811 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Hanyu Guo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Marta Kostyuk | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Hanyu Guo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 1 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Maria Sakkari | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Maria Sakkari | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Liudmila Samsonova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 1 - 0 | Marta Kostyuk |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Marta Kostyuk |
| 12 Sep 2022 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 1 | Marta Kostyuk |
| 10 May 2021 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | Marta Kostyuk |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 21 Oct 06:15 |