| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.0% | 70% | -14.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 55.5% | 44.4% |
| logistic | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Maria Timofeeva | Gabriela Andrea Knutson | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1534 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1534 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Rinaldo Persson, Kajsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Johnson, Sofia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Elise Mertens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Tamara Zidansek | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Shuai Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Akli, Ayana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Katherine Sebov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Lisa Pigato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Mia Pohankova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Malaika Rapolu | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.85 | 35.1% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.39 | 71.9% | 25 Sep 06:15 |