| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.3% | 68% | -10.8% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.8% | 38.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| logistic | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Jacob Fearnley | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1747 | 1711 |
| Surface Elo | 1747 | 1711 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Damir Dzumhur | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Luca Nardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Jan Kumstat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | George Loffhagen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Laslo Djere | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Gauthier Onclin | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |