| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 35.8% | 49% | -12.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.0% | 40.3% |
| xgboost | 42.3% | 56.6% |
| logistic | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Buffalo Sabres | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1608 | 1524 |
| Surface Elo | 1608 | 1524 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Minnesota Wild | 3 - 2 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 - 3 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 3 - 6 | L |
| 18 May | H | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 May | A | Montréal Canadiens | 8 - 3 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 0 - 4 | L |
| 30 Apr | A | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 5 | L |
| 29 Apr | H | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 4 | L |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 - 4 | Dallas Stars |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Dallas Stars | 1 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Dallas Stars | 4 - 2 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 22 Oct 2024 | Buffalo Sabres | 4 - 2 | Dallas Stars |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 08 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.87 | 53.5% | 08 Oct 19:20 |