| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.9% | 66% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| logistic | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Flavio Cobolli | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1900 | 1730 |
| Surface Elo | 1900 | 1730 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 35 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Lorenzo Musetti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Oct | H | Brandon Nakashima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Brandon Nakashima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Stan Wawrinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Alexei Popyrin | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Sebastian Baez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Nuno Borges | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.51 | 66.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |