OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-15
🇪🇸 La Liga · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished
Vallecano 0.80 2 - 1 1.40 Espanol
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 74.1%41%+32.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 75.0%69%+5.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 66.9%57%+10.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.6%53%+10.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 63.4%33%+30.1%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.4%25.0%30.9%
xgboost57.7%23.4%18.9%
logistic49.3%26.3%24.5%
Inputs the models saw
VallecanoEspanol
Elo (pre-match)15581493
Surface Elo15581493
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.40
Form trend-0.20-0.10
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days23
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W5 W · 1 D
Vallecano: last 5
12 SepAReal Madrid1 - 4L
05 SepHSantander3 - 2W
31 AugABarcelona2 - 5L
20 AugHAlaves1 - 1D
15 AugASevilla1 - 2L
Espanol: last 5
12 SepAOsasuna2 - 0W
06 SepHSevilla1 - 1D
29 AugASociedad1 - 2L
22 AugHReal Madrid1 - 2L
16 AugHLevante3 - 0W
Head to head
23 Apr 2026Vallecano1 - 0Espanol
07 Dec 2025Espanol1 - 0Vallecano
04 Apr 2025Vallecano0 - 4Espanol
31 Aug 2024Espanol2 - 1Vallecano
21 May 2023Vallecano1 - 2Espanol
19 Aug 2022Espanol0 - 2Vallecano
21 Apr 2022Espanol0 - 1Vallecano
05 Dec 2021Vallecano1 - 0Espanol
31 Jan 2021Espanol2 - 3Vallecano
18 Oct 2020Vallecano1 - 0Espanol
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.3030.3%15 Sep 18:00
Bet3651X2draw3.2530.8%15 Sep 18:00
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%15 Sep 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.1047.6%15 Sep 18:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.7357.8%15 Sep 18:00
SportyBet1X2away3.1731.6%15 Sep 09:05
SportyBet1X2draw3.4229.2%15 Sep 09:05
SportyBet1X2home2.4241.3%15 Sep 09:05
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.9052.6%15 Sep 09:05
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9451.5%15 Sep 09:05
Generated 2026-10-30 21:36 UTC