OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Ligue 2 · Saturday 10 October 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Nantes 1.40 0 - 0 2.20 Reims
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.0%31%+19.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.7%78%-1.9%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 63.5%43%+20.9%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.5%53%+3.2%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 56.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson20.7%20.7%58.6%
xgboost34.6%31.4%34.1%
logistic36.2%27.3%36.5%
Inputs the models saw
NantesReims
Elo (pre-match)14731556
Surface Elo14731556
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.20
Form trend-0.500.40
Season points per game1.001.86
Season goals for / game1.292.14
Season goals against / game1.861.29
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W7 W · 1 D
Nantes: last 5
19 SepABoulogne2 - 1W
19 SepABoulogne2 - 1W
12 SepASochaux0 - 1L
07 SepHNancy1 - 0W
29 AugAGuingamp3 - 3D
Reims: last 5
18 SepHMontpellier1 - 1D
11 SepANancy2 - 1W
05 SepHGuingamp2 - 2D
29 AugARed Star4 - 1W
24 AugHAnnecy3 - 1W
Head to head
02 Feb 2025Reims1 - 2Nantes
15 Sep 2024Nantes1 - 2Reims
28 Jan 2024Reims0 - 0Nantes
05 Nov 2023Nantes0 - 1Reims
02 Apr 2023Nantes0 - 3Reims
06 Nov 2022Reims1 - 0Nantes
13 Feb 2022Nantes1 - 0Reims
26 Sep 2021Reims3 - 1Nantes
03 Mar 2021Nantes1 - 2Reims
16 Dec 2020Reims3 - 2Nantes
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.2031.2%10 Oct 13:00
Bet3651X2draw3.1032.3%10 Oct 13:00
Bet3651X2home2.1546.5%10 Oct 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.0050.0%10 Oct 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8055.6%10 Oct 13:00
SportyBet1X2away3.2530.8%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3330.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2045.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8554.0%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9252.1%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC