| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 53% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.6% | 47.2% |
| logistic | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| Lui Maxted | Hynek Barton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1568 | 1545 |
| Surface Elo | 1568 | 1545 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.30 |
| Rest days | 1 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Jamie Mackenzie | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Tyler Zink | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Alastair Gray | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Simakin, Ilia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Sander Jong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Jack Kennedy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Jack Kennedy | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Maxim Mrva | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.86 | 53.8% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.87 | 53.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |