| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 74.1% | 79% | -5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 72.5% | 27.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.8% | 18.2% |
| logistic | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| Mathys Erhard | Leo Raquillet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1531 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1531 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Rocco, Lorenzo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Oliver Tarvet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Alberto Barroso Campos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Theate, Paul | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Gabi Adrian Boitan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Marko Topo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | A | Kilian Feldbausch | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.26 | 79.4% | 12 Oct 06:15 |