| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.3% | 74% | -4.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.1% | 94% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 84.3% | 90% | -6.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 69% | -16.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 68.1% | 19.4% | 12.5% |
| xgboost | 74.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| logistic | 70.7% | 19.9% | 9.4% |
| Stockport | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1580 | 1372 |
| Surface Elo | 1580 | 1372 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 10 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Cray Wanderers | 2 - 2 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Charlton | 2 - 6 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | AFC Wimbledon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | AFC Wimbledon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Oxford | 0 - 1 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Barnet | 0 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Tranmere | 4 - 0 | Stockport |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Stockport | 2 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Stockport | 3 - 2 | Tranmere |
| 01 Nov 2022 | Tranmere | 0 - 0 | Stockport |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.70 | 14.9% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.25 | 19.1% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |