OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-14
🇪🇸 La Liga · Monday 14 September 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Villarreal 1.00 1 - 2 2.40 Betis
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 37.0%52%-15.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 72.3%76%-4.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 51.2%65%-14.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 62.5%64%-1.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 63.5%33%+30.2%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.4%25.0%30.9%
xgboost29.7%28.8%41.6%
logistic38.0%28.7%33.2%
Inputs the models saw
VillarrealBetis
Elo (pre-match)16951738
Surface Elo16951738
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.002.40
Form trend0.700.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days89
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Villarreal: last 5
05 SepHLa Coruna2 - 3L
28 AugAAlaves0 - 1L
23 AugAAtlético Madrid2 - 2D
16 AugASantander2 - 2D
24 MayHAtlético Madrid5 - 1W
Betis: last 5
04 SepHReal Madrid1 - 0W
29 AugALevante2 - 5L
25 AugAValencia1 - 0W
21 AugHSociedad1 - 0W
23 MayHLevante2 - 1W
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Betis2 - 0Villarreal
18 Oct 2025Villarreal2 - 2Betis
13 Apr 2025Betis1 - 2Villarreal
15 Dec 2024Villarreal1 - 2Betis
10 Mar 2024Betis2 - 3Villarreal
13 Aug 2023Villarreal1 - 2Betis
12 Mar 2023Villarreal1 - 1Betis
11 Sep 2022Betis1 - 0Villarreal
06 Feb 2022Betis0 - 2Villarreal
03 Oct 2021Villarreal2 - 0Betis
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%14 Sep 20:00
Bet3651X2draw4.0025.0%14 Sep 20:00
Bet3651X2home1.9152.4%14 Sep 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4071.4%14 Sep 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.0033.3%14 Sep 20:00
Generated 2026-10-30 21:38 UTC