OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Freiburg 2.00 1 - 3 2.20 Bayern München
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 62.5%72%-9.9%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 85.8%89%-2.7%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 81.3%86%-4.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 65.4%81%-15.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 63.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson15.3%17.0%67.7%
xgboost14.8%22.0%63.2%
logistic13.0%21.0%66.0%
Inputs the models saw
FreiburgBayern München
Elo (pre-match)16661923
Surface Elo16661923
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.002.20
Form trend0.60-0.20
Season points per game1.502.00
Season goals for / game1.504.00
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W9 W · 1 D
Freiburg: last 5
22 OctAMonaco0 - 3L
18 OctABayer Leverkusen1 - 2L
18 OctABayer Leverkusen1 - 2L
15 OctHFK Jablonec3 - 2W
11 OctHSchalke 042 - 1W
Bayern München: last 5
21 OctHArsenal2 - 2D
17 OctHRB Leipzig6 - 1W
17 OctHRB Leipzig6 - 1W
13 OctAViking FK3 - 3D
10 OctAAugsburg2 - 2D
Head to head
04 Apr 2026Freiburg2 - 3Bayern München
22 Nov 2025Bayern München6 - 2Freiburg
25 Jan 2025Freiburg1 - 2Bayern München
01 Sep 2024Bayern München2 - 0Freiburg
01 Mar 2024Freiburg2 - 2Bayern München
08 Oct 2023Bayern München3 - 0Freiburg
08 Apr 2023Freiburg0 - 1Bayern München
16 Oct 2022Bayern München5 - 0Freiburg
02 Apr 2022Freiburg1 - 4Bayern München
06 Nov 2021Bayern München2 - 1Freiburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.3872.5%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.2216.1%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home6.8514.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.2480.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under4.1024.4%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:04 UTC