| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 82.7% | 93% | -9.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 82.1% | 17.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 82.3% | 17.6% |
| logistic | 77.2% | 22.8% |
| Coco Gauff | Camila Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1991 | 1596 |
| Surface Elo | 1991 | 1596 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 34 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Elise Mertens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Xinran Sun | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Camila Osorio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Elena Rybakina | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Lanlana Tararudee | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Coco Gauff | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Lanlana Tararudee | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Ann Li | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Camila Osorio | 1 - 2 | Coco Gauff |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 8.70 | 11.5% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.08 | 92.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |