OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-11-01

NFL · Sunday 01 November 2026, 18:00 UTC · scheduled

Detroit Lions – 18:00 – Minnesota Vikings

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	52.3%	39%	+13.7%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	47.7%	52.3%

Inputs the models saw

	Detroit Lions	Minnesota Vikings
playoff	0.00
elo diff	-0.09
form diff	-0.38
rest diff	-0.02
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.61
opponent strength diff	-0.02
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-30T14:22:17.184962+00:00

Detroit Lions: last 5

25 Oct	H	Green Bay Packers	20 - 17	W
11 Oct	A	Arizona Cardinals	45 - 21	W
05 Oct	A	Carolina Panthers	26 - 32	L
27 Sep	H	New York Jets	31 - 24	W
18 Sep	A	Buffalo Bills	31 - 41	L

Minnesota Vikings: last 5

25 Oct	H	Indianapolis Colts	16 - 10	W
11 Oct	A	New Orleans Saints	23 - 13	W
04 Oct	H	Miami Dolphins	15 - 10	W
27 Sep	A	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	23 - 16	W
20 Sep	A	Chicago Bears	9 - 3	W

Head to head

25 Dec 2025	Minnesota Vikings	23 - 10	Detroit Lions
02 Nov 2025	Detroit Lions	24 - 27	Minnesota Vikings
06 Jan 2025	Detroit Lions	31 - 9	Minnesota Vikings
20 Oct 2024	Minnesota Vikings	29 - 31	Detroit Lions
07 Jan 2024	Detroit Lions	30 - 20	Minnesota Vikings
24 Dec 2023	Minnesota Vikings	24 - 30	Detroit Lions
11 Dec 2022	Detroit Lions	34 - 23	Minnesota Vikings
25 Sep 2022	Minnesota Vikings	28 - 24	Detroit Lions
05 Dec 2021	Detroit Lions	29 - 27	Minnesota Vikings
10 Oct 2021	Minnesota Vikings	19 - 17	Detroit Lions

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.55	64.5%	30 Oct 12:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.59	38.6%	30 Oct 12:20

Generated 2026-10-30 15:04 UTC