| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.1% | 70% | -16.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| logistic | 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | Fajing Sun | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 11 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Omar Jasika | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Dane Sweeny | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Masamichi Imamura | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Hayato Matsuoka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Qian Sun | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Qian Sun | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Fajing Sun | 0 - 2 | Petr Bar Biryukov |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.43 | 69.9% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |