| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.2% | 86% | -17.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 73.9% | 26.1% |
| logistic | 65.1% | 34.9% |
| Filip Misolic | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1677 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1677 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 13 | 90 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Henri Squire | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Sep | H | Francisco Cerundolo | 0 - 3 | L |
| 16 Feb | H | Martin Landaluce | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Jan | H | Lorenzo Giustino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | A | Carlos Lopez Montagud | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Feb | H | Steven Diez | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.90 | 20.4% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 20 Sep 06:16 |