OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-23

⚽ 2. Bundesliga · Friday 23 October 2026, 17:30 UTC · finished

Darmstadt 1.20 0 - 0 1.80 St Pauli

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
No prediction run for this match yet.

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Draw	Away
–

Inputs the models saw

	Darmstadt	St Pauli
Elo (pre-match)	1409	1480
Surface Elo	1409	1480
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.80
Form trend	0.00	0.00
Season points per game	0.88	1.38
Season goals for / game	1.00	1.38
Season goals against / game	2.25	1.13
Rest days	5	5
Head-to-head (last 10)	5 W	3 W · 2 D

Darmstadt: last 5

23 Oct	H	St Pauli	0 - 0	D
18 Oct	A	Karlsruhe	0 - 4	L
18 Oct	A	Karlsruher SC	0 - 4	L
10 Oct	H	Cottbus	3 - 1	W
10 Oct	H	Cottbus	3 - 1	W

St Pauli: last 5

23 Oct	A	Darmstadt	0 - 0	D
17 Oct	A	Hannover	1 - 1	D
17 Oct	A	Hannover	1 - 1	D
11 Oct	H	Karlsruher SC	2 - 0	W
11 Oct	H	Karlsruhe	2 - 0	W

Head to head

23 Oct 2026	Darmstadt	0 - 0	St Pauli
06 May 2023	Darmstadt	0 - 3	St Pauli
29 Oct 2022	St Pauli	1 - 1	Darmstadt
23 Apr 2022	St Pauli	1 - 2	Darmstadt
20 Nov 2021	Darmstadt	4 - 0	St Pauli
20 Feb 2021	St Pauli	3 - 2	Darmstadt
24 Oct 2020	Darmstadt	2 - 2	St Pauli
23 May 2020	Darmstadt	4 - 0	St Pauli
19 Oct 2019	St Pauli	0 - 1	Darmstadt
29 Jan 2019	Darmstadt	2 - 1	St Pauli

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Bet365	1X2	away	2.25	44.4%	23 Oct 17:30
Bet365	1X2	draw	3.50	28.6%	23 Oct 17:30
Bet365	1X2	home	2.80	35.7%	23 Oct 17:30
Bet365	O/U 2.5	over	1.83	54.6%	23 Oct 17:30
Bet365	O/U 2.5	under	1.98	50.5%	23 Oct 17:30

Generated 2026-10-30 15:53 UTC