| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.5% | 72% | -11.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| logistic | failed: ValueError | |
| xgboost | failed: ValueError | |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1528 | 1840 |
| Surface Elo | 1528 | 1840 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 12 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 18 Sep | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Michele Ribecai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Borna Gojo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | Titouan Droguet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 19 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 19 Sep 06:16 |