OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-06
⚽ France Ligue 2 · Friday 06 November 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Montpellier 2.60 2 - 3 1.00 Metz
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 51.7%50%+1.6%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 78.2%78%-0.1%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 69.6%68%+1.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 66.5%59%+7.8%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 63.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson46.8%26.5%26.6%
xgboost57.6%25.9%16.4%
logistic48.9%27.2%23.9%
Inputs the models saw
MontpellierMetz
Elo (pre-match)15601456
Surface Elo15601456
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.601.00
Form trend-0.400.10
Season points per game3.001.25
Season goals for / game2.671.75
Season goals against / game0.002.00
Rest days67
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
Montpellier: last 5
31 OctAAnnecy3 - 0W
31 OctAAnnecy3 - 0W
26 OctHRed Star2 - 1W
19 OctARodez3 - 0W
19 OctARodez Aveyron Football3 - 0W
Metz: last 5
30 OctHPau FC1 - 3L
30 OctHPau FC1 - 3L
23 OctADunkerque1 - 1D
23 OctADunkerque1 - 1D
17 OctHSochaux3 - 2W
Head to head
18 Feb 2024Montpellier3 - 0Metz
17 Dec 2023Metz0 - 1Montpellier
01 May 2022Montpellier2 - 2Metz
01 Dec 2021Metz1 - 3Montpellier
03 Feb 2021Metz1 - 1Montpellier
16 Dec 2020Montpellier0 - 2Metz
05 Feb 2020Montpellier1 - 1Metz
02 Nov 2019Metz2 - 2Montpellier
10 Feb 2018Metz0 - 1Montpellier
16 Dec 2017Montpellier1 - 3Metz
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.6027.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9950.2%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7158.5%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1047.6%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC