| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.6% | 60% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.8% | 60.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.9% | 45.0% |
| logistic | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| Timo Legout | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1637 | 1691 |
| Surface Elo | 1637 | 1691 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.18 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.45 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.82 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Oct | H | Andrew Fenty | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Daniel De Jonge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Edward Winter | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Clement Tabur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Stefano Travaglia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Mathys Erhard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.67 | 59.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |