| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.2% | 76% | -10.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.2% | 20.7% |
| logistic | 62.2% | 37.8% |
| Jay Friend | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1643 | 1513 |
| Surface Elo | 1643 | 1513 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Yuta Kikuchi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Max Basing | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Yanki Erel | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Samir Hamza Reguig | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Sidharth Rawat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | James Trotter | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Sergey Fomin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Petr Bar Biryukov | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 07 Oct 06:15 |