| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.4% | 55% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 43.4% | 56.6% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Matteo Martineau | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1589 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1589 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Justin Boulais | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Cesar Bouchelaghem | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Moez Echargui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Maxime Janvier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Moez Echargui | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Daniel Masur | 2 - 1 | Matteo Martineau |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |