| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.7% | 62% | -8.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.3% | 37.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 46.5% | 53.4% |
| logistic | 47.3% | 52.7% |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1739 | 1678 |
| Surface Elo | 1739 | 1678 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 24 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 3 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Fabian Marozsan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Sho Shimabukuro | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | H | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Denis Shapovalov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Alejandro Tabilo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Juncheng Shang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Mar 2021 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 08 Feb 2021 | Adrian Mannarino | 3 - 0 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| 19 Oct 2020 | Adrian Mannarino | 2 - 0 | Miomir Kecmanovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 28 Sep 06:15 |