| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.2% | 68% | -8.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.9% | 43.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.7% | 37.2% |
| logistic | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| Adrien Gobat | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1607 | 1466 |
| Surface Elo | 1607 | 1466 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.38 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Robert Strombachs | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Martin Riu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Romain Andres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Jelle Sels | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Axel Garcian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Guillaume Dalmasso | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Massard, L | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Melih Anavatan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Lumsden, E | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |